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Cubs @ Diamondbacks
Mon 8:40 PM
Cubs56.9%vsDiamondbacks43.1%
1:46 PMzoomed 41–59%5:32 PM
View as table
TimeDiamondbacksCubsPoly
5:32 PM43.1%56.9%43.5%
5:27 PM43.1%56.9%43.5%
5:24 PM43.1%56.9%44.5%
5:19 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
5:14 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
5:09 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
5:04 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
4:59 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
4:54 PM43.6%56.4%44.5%
4:53 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:48 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:43 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:38 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:33 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:28 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:22 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:16 PM43.7%56.3%44.5%
4:13 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
4:07 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
4:02 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:57 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:52 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:46 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:41 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:36 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:31 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:25 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:20 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:15 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:10 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
3:04 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
2:59 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
2:54 PM43.7%56.3%45.5%
2:51 PM43.7%56.3%46.5%
2:50 PM44.7%55.3%46.5%
2:46 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:40 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:35 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:30 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:25 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:19 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:14 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:09 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
2:04 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
1:58 PM45.6%54.4%46.5%
1:53 PM45.6%54.4%47.0%
1:48 PM45.6%54.4%47.0%
1:46 PM47.0%
Polymarket44%3 markets · 0.7 pt disagreement
Nine outs, and he bets half the pot. Call?Play it

Market consensus

  • pinnacle43.4%
  • betonlineag42.7%
  • lowvig42.7%

Each market's margin is removed before averaging, so the figure is a fair probability rather than a price. 3 sources · 0.7 pt disagreement.

Consensus vs. crowd

Global markets43.1%
Polymarket43.5%
Divergence−0.4 pts

Both figures are the probability that Diamondbacks win.

Listen

MLB and TuneIn both refuse to be framed, so these open in their own window.

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